Net Zero Target Pathway Calculator

Build a linear or science-based net zero reduction pathway from base year

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A credible net zero plan is a year-by-year trajectory, not a single distant promise. This calculator turns a base-year footprint and a target year into a concrete reduction pathway with annual milestones, the required pace, and the cumulative carbon budget you are committing to.

How it works

The tool builds the pathway from a constant absolute reduction each year:

SBTi 1.5°C:  annual reduction = base emissions × 4.2%
SBTi 2°C:    annual reduction = base emissions × 2.5%
linear:      annual reduction = (base − residual) / (target year − base year)

emissions(year) = base − annual reduction × (year − base year)
carbon budget   = sum of emissions across every year on the path

The SBTi modes apply a fixed share of the base year every year — the absolute contraction approach — so the line is straight and the pace never slackens. The linear mode lets you aim at a custom residual you plan to neutralise.

Example and notes

A company at 50,000 tCO2e in 2025 on the SBTi 1.5°C path must cut 2,100 tCO2e every year (4.2% of base year). Over 15 years to 2040 that removes 63% of emissions, leaving roughly 18,500 tCO2e still to be eliminated or neutralised for genuine net zero. Note that the cumulative budget — the area under the line — is what physically drives warming, so front-loading reductions beats a path that delays the steep cuts. Always re-check the live SBTi sectoral criteria, as required rates and methods are periodically tightened.

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