The Climate Risk TCFD Screener gives you a fast, structured first pass at the physical and transition climate risks facing your organisation. By combining your sector and geography it scores each TCFD risk category under two warming scenarios and ranks them into a priority matrix you can use to scope a disclosure.
How it works
TCFD divides climate risk into two pillars. Physical risk comes from the climate itself and splits into acute (events like floods and storms) and chronic (slow shifts like sea-level rise and heat). Transition risk comes from the shift to a low-carbon economy and splits into policy/legal, technology, market, and reputational risk.
The screener assigns each sector a transition-risk weighting based on its emissions intensity and exposure to carbon pricing, and each geography a physical-risk weighting based on its hazard profile. It then combines these under two scenarios:
1.5°C scenario: transition weight ×1.4, physical weight ×0.7
4°C scenario: transition weight ×0.6, physical weight ×1.5This mirrors the TCFD logic that aggressive decarbonisation raises transition risk but limits physical risk, while inaction does the reverse. Each category is scored 0–100 and bucketed into Low, Medium, High, or Severe.
Example and notes
A coal-heavy utility in a flood-prone delta region will show Severe transition risk under 1.5°C (carbon pricing, stranded assets) and Severe physical risk under 4°C (acute flooding). A software firm in a temperate inland city will show mostly Low scores across both scenarios.
Use the ranked matrix to decide which risks merit a full, asset-level assessment. The screener is a scoping aid, not a substitute for site-specific hazard modelling and financial impact analysis.