Warfarin Dose Estimator (Gage Algorithm)

Estimate an initial warfarin dose from clinical and genetic factors.

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Warfarin starting-dose estimator

Warfarin has a narrow therapeutic window and huge between-patient variability — the required maintenance dose can differ more than tenfold. This tool estimates a sensible starting dose using the Gage 2008 pharmacogenetic algorithm, which combines patient size, age, two key genotypes and common interacting factors. It is designed for anticoagulation-clinic pharmacists and prescribers who want a defensible initial estimate before INR titration.

How it works

The algorithm predicts the natural log of the weekly dose, then exponentiates it. The size term uses Mosteller body surface area:

BSA (m²) = sqrt( height_cm × weight_kg / 3600 )

Each factor shifts the predicted log-dose up or down. Two genes dominate:

  • CYP2C9 metabolises warfarin. The *2 and especially *3 variants slow clearance, so carriers need lower doses — each *3 allele subtracts from the estimate.
  • VKORC1 (the −1639 G>A promoter variant) sets the drug target’s expression. The A allele lowers the dose requirement, so AG and AA genotypes pull the dose down.

Clinical terms then adjust further: amiodarone and a DVT/PE indication reduce the dose, while smoking and a high target INR raise it. The result is divided by seven to give an equivalent daily dose.

Notes and example

For a 65-year-old, 170 cm, 75 kg patient with wild-type genotype and no interacting drugs, the model estimates roughly 35 mg/week (about 5 mg/day). Adding VKORC1 AA and CYP2C9 *3/*3 would cut that estimate sharply, reflecting a slow metaboliser with a sensitive target.

Always round to available tablet strengths, confirm against local anticoagulation policy, and titrate to the measured INR. This is a decision-support estimate, not a prescription, and it should never replace clinical judgement or INR monitoring.

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