Solar Self-Consumption vs. Export Calculator

Model hourly solar vs. load to estimate self-consumption rate and grid export

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When solar generation and household demand are both expressed as daily totals they can look perfectly matched, yet a home can still export most of its solar because the sun peaks at midday and people use power in the evening. This calculator overlays representative hourly curves to estimate what share of your solar you actually use on-site versus send to the grid.

How it works

Generation and load are each spread across 24 hours using a chosen shape, then compared hour by hour:

for each hour h:
  self-consumed[h] = min(generation[h], load[h])
  exported[h]      = max(generation[h] − load[h], 0)

self-consumption % = Σ self-consumed / Σ generation × 100
annual export      = Σ exported × 365

Because the comparison is per hour, midday solar above the daytime load counts as export even if the daily totals are equal — which is exactly the gap a battery can close by shifting that surplus to the evening.

Example and tips

A home generating 20 kWh/day with an afternoon-peaking array but an evening-heavy residential load might self-consume only around 35 to 45 percent, exporting the rest. Flattening or shifting load toward midday raises self-consumption directly. The annual export figure shown is roughly the energy a battery could time-shift, so compare its value at your export rate against the retail savings storage would unlock.

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