The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) turns three routine lab values into a single number that predicts short-term mortality in advanced liver disease. Because it is objective and reproducible, it became the basis for ranking patients on transplant waiting lists, later refined with serum sodium as MELD-Na.
How it works
The original MELD is a weighted sum of the natural logs of three labs:
MELD = 0.957 x ln(creatinine)
+ 0.378 x ln(bilirubin)
+ 1.120 x ln(INR)
+ 0.643
MELD = round(MELD x 10)
Before the logs are taken, any value below 1.0 is set to 1.0, creatinine is capped at 4.0 mg/dL, and dialysis forces creatinine to 4.0. The result is bounded between 6 and 40.
The sodium correction is applied when MELD is 12 or higher:
MELD-Na = MELD + 1.32 x (137 - Na)
- 0.033 x MELD x (137 - Na)
with sodium clamped to the range 125 to 137 mEq/L.
Example and notes
A patient with creatinine 1.9, bilirubin 4.0, and INR 1.8 produces a MELD in the high teens; adding a low sodium of 128 pushes MELD-Na several points higher, reflecting the worse prognosis of hyponatraemia. The score is a prognostic estimate, not a treatment decision, and should always be interpreted alongside the clinical picture and local allocation policy.